Dec 8, 2014 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Dec 8 00:53:28 UTC 2014 (20141208 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20141208 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20141208 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20141208 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20141208 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20141208 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 080053

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0653 PM CST SUN DEC 07 2014

   VALID 080100Z - 081200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TONIGHT.

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   EARLY EVENING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A DISTURBANCE MOVING NEWD
   FROM THE ERN PACIFIC INTO THE NRN CA COAST.  THIS FEATURE IS
   FORECAST TO WEAKEN TONIGHT AS IT MOVES INTO CNTRL ORE.  A LOW-TOPPED
   CONVECTIVE BAND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE COASTAL MTNS OF NRN CA OVER
   THE NEXT HOUR WITH A LIGHTNING STRIKE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. 
   MEANWHILE FARTHER E...A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PROGRESS SEWD
   FROM THE ERN DAKOTAS INTO THE UPPER MS RIVER VALLEY.  THE INFLUENCE
   OF AN ANTICYCLONE OVER THE SRN AND SERN U.S. WILL NEGATE
   THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

   ..SMITH.. 12/08/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z