Jan 1, 2014 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Jan 1 05:49:50 UTC 2014 (20140101 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20140101 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140101 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20140101 0700 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 010548

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1148 PM CST TUE DEC 31 2013

   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE FROM THE MS VALLEY INTO THE OH AND
   TN VALLEYS ON THURSDAY. AT THE SFC...A LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE CNTRL
   APPALACHIAN MTNS AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES EWD ACROSS THE CNTRL AND
   ERN GULF COAST STATES. A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP
   ACROSS CNTRL FL AS THE FRONT APPROACHES WHICH COULD BE A FOCUS FOR
   CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY
   DEVELOP IN CNTRL FL LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS INSTABILITY
   MAXIMIZES. HOWEVER...INSTABILITY SHOULD REMAIN TOO WEAK FOR A SEVERE
   THREAT. ELSEWHERE...THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED ACROSS
   THE CONUS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

   ..BROYLES.. 01/01/2014

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z