Jan 7, 2014 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Jan 7 16:37:46 UTC 2014 (20140107 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20140107 1730Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140107 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20140107 1730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 071635

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1035 AM CST TUE JAN 07 2014

   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...DISCUSSION...
   NEGLIGIBLE TSTM PROBABILITIES SHOULD PERSIST INTO EARLY THU ACROSS
   MUCH OF THE CONUS. EVEN SO...AIR MASS MODIFICATION WILL OCCUR OVER
   FL AND ACROSS THE WRN GULF COAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN PW
   VALUES. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONTENT WILL BE COMPARATIVELY HIGHER OVER
   FL BUT POOR UPPER-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD MITIGATE POTENTIAL FOR
   CHARGE SEPARATION. WEAK LOW-LEVEL ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
   LOW-TOPPED CONVECTIVE SHOWERS...GENERALLY CONFINED TO
   OFFSHORE/COASTAL AREAS OF SRN/ERN FL. FARTHER W...A SERIES OF WEAK
   MID-LEVEL IMPULSES SHOULD AID IN MAINTAINING A PLUME OF LOW-LEVEL
   WAA FROM THE WRN GULF COAST TO THE ARKLATEX. ALTHOUGH SCATTERED
   SHOWERS ARE ANTICIPATED WED NIGHT...A DEARTH OF BUOYANCY WILL
   PRECLUDE TSTMS.

   ..GRAMS.. 01/07/2014

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z