Jan 16, 2014 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Jan 16 17:12:48 UTC 2014 (20140116 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20140116 1730Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140116 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20140116 1730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 161710

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1110 AM CST THU JAN 16 2014

   VALID 171200Z - 181200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   A HIGHLY-MERIDIONAL UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL DOMINATE THE CNTRL AND
   ERN U.S. ON FRIDAY WITH THE TROUGH MOVING FROM THE MS VALLEY FRIDAY
   MORNING TO THE SRN APPALACHIAN MTNS AND ERN GULF COAST STATES FRIDAY
   EVENING. AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE QUICKLY EWD ACROSS
   THE OH AND TN VALLEYS AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES INTO THE SCNTRL
   STATES. NWLY FLOW AT THE SFC IN THE GULF COAST STATES WILL KEEP DRY
   AIR IN PLACE ACROSS THE CNTRL AND ERN CONUS FRIDAY. A FEW SHOWERS
   WILL BE POSSIBLE IN NCNTRL FL AHEAD OF THE FRONT ALONG A PRE-FRONTAL
   TROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON BUT LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IN NCNTRL FL IS
   EXPECTED TO BE INSUFFICIENT FOR THUNDERSTORMS.

   ..BROYLES.. 01/16/2014

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z