Storm Prediction Center Oct 28, 2014 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

Oct 28, 2014 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

Updated: Tue Oct 28 05:48:52 UTC 2014 (

)

Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table

Categorical Graphic

Risk	Area (sq. mi.)	Area Pop.	Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Probabilistic Graphic

20141028 0600 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic

Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.

Prob. Risk	Area (sq. mi.)	Area Pop.	Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

   SPC AC 280548

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1248 AM CDT TUE OCT 28 2014

   VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED FROM THE LOWER MID-ATLANTIC
   STATES TO THE GULF COAST STATES.

   ...DISCUSSION...
   A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PROGRESS NE ACROSS QUEBEC...WHILE A
   LOWER-AMPLITUDE IMPULSE TRACKS FROM THE MIDWEST TO MID-ATLANTIC.
   THIS WILL AID IN A SURFACE COLD FRONT PUSHING SE TOWARDS THE S
   ATLANTIC AND GULF COASTS AS AN ANTICYCLONE REACHES THE MID-SOUTH BY
   EARLY THU.

   MODERATE TO STRONG MID-LEVEL SWLYS SHOULD BE MAINTAINED 
   FROM SE VA TO SC...LARGELY ALONG AND BEHIND THE PROGRESSIVE COLD
   FRONT. BUT WITH MODEST AND VEERED LOW-LEVEL WINDS IN THE WARM
   SECTOR...MODIFIED MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE CURTAILED. GIVEN LIMITED
   BUOYANCY/INSTABILITY...THE PROSPECT FOR SEVERE STORMS APPEARS
   MINIMAL.

   ..GRAMS.. 10/28/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z