Jan 5, 2014 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Sun Jan 5 07:08:46 UTC 2014 (20140105 0830Z Day 3 shapefile | 20140105 0830Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140105 0830 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20140105 0830 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 050706

   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0106 AM CST SUN JAN 05 2014

   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   VERY TRANQUIL CONDITIONS WITH RESPECT TO DEEP CONVECTION ARE
   ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE CONUS ON TUESDAY...WITH VIRTUALLY NIL TSTM
   POTENTIAL GIVEN THE PREVALENCE OF COLD/STABLE CONDITIONS. THE
   LONGWAVE PATTERN WILL TREND MORE PROGRESSIVE/ZONAL OVER THE
   CONUS...WITH A LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIKELY MOVING INLAND
   OVER THE GREAT BASIN/SOUTHWEST STATES. SOME RELATIVELY SHALLOW
   CONVECTION MAY OCCUR OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AND/OR NORTHWEST
   CONUS...BUT THE POTENTIAL FOR TSTMS APPEARS NEGLIGIBLE IN THE
   RELATIVE ABSENCE OF MOISTURE/INSTABILITY.

   ..GUYER.. 01/05/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z