Jan 13, 2014 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Mon Jan 13 08:03:44 UTC 2014 (20140113 0830Z Day 3 shapefile | 20140113 0830Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140113 0830 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20140113 0830 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 130800

   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0200 AM CST MON JAN 13 2014

   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   MODELS INDICATE THAT A SERIES OF SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVES WILL
   CONTINUE TO PROGRESS THROUGH LARGER SCALE UPPER TROUGHING EAST OF
   THE ROCKIES...DOWNSTREAM OF AMPLIFIED UPPER RIDGING NEAR THE PACIFIC
   COAST.  AS ONE REINFORCING COLD FRONT CLEARS THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD
   EARLY IN THE PERIOD...DRYING WESTERLY/NORTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW
   LIKELY WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE GULF AND SOUTH ATLANTIC COASTS...INTO
   THE GULF OF MEXICO AND WESTERN ATLANTIC.  THIS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
   THE MAINTENANCE OF GENERALLY STABLE CONDITIONS EAST OF THE
   ROCKIES...WHILE DRY/STABLE CONDITIONS PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE
   WEST.  AS A RESULT...CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL APPEARS NEGLIGIBLE
   WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

   ..KERR.. 01/13/2014

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z