Jan 14, 2014 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Tue Jan 14 07:32:46 UTC 2014 (20140114 0830Z Day 3 shapefile | 20140114 0830Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140114 0830 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20140114 0830 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 140730

   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0130 AM CST TUE JAN 14 2014

   VALID 161200Z - 171200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   MODELS INDICATE LITTLE CHANGE TO THE LARGE-SCALE UPPER FLOW PATTERN
   FROM WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.  ANOTHER VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE
   IMPULSE...AND ASSOCIATED SIGNIFICANT LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC COLD
   POOL...APPEAR LIKELY TO ADVANCE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE PLAINS AND
   MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION.  BUT THIS IS EXPECTED TO GENERALLY ONLY
   REINFORCE DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS ALREADY PREVALENT EAST OF THE
   ROCKIES...INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND THROUGH MUCH OF THE GULF OF
   MEXICO.  THE RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS APPEARS NEGLIGIBLE ACROSS THE
   NATION THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD.

   ..KERR.. 01/14/2014

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z