Jan 16, 2014 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Thu Jan 16 07:02:46 UTC 2014 (20140116 0830Z Day 3 shapefile | 20140116 0830Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140116 0830 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20140116 0830 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 160700

   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0100 AM CST THU JAN 16 2014

   VALID 181200Z - 191200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   ALTHOUGH PERHAPS BECOMING A BIT LESS AMPLIFIED DURING THIS
   PERIOD...THE LARGE-SCALE UPPER FLOW PATTERN APPEARS LIKELY TO REMAIN
   CHARACTERIZED BY RIDGING ACROSS THE PACIFIC COAST INTO THE
   ROCKIES...AND TROUGHING EAST OF THE ROCKIES INTO THE WESTERN
   ATLANTIC.  SUBSTANTIVE BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTENING OVER THE GULF OF
   MEXICO IN THE WAKE OF RECENT DRYING IS UNLIKELY.  AND GENERALLY
   DRY/STABLE CONDITIONS SHOULD PERSIST SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT
   ACROSS MUCH OF THE U.S...WITH NEGLIGIBLE RISK FOR THUNDERSTORM
   ACTIVITY.

   ..KERR.. 01/16/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z