Feb 6, 2014 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Thu Feb 6 08:00:46 UTC 2014 (20140206 0830Z Day 3 shapefile | 20140206 0830Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140206 0830 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20140206 0830 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 060757

   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0157 AM CST THU FEB 06 2014

   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE IMPULSE WILL TRACK FROM THE DEEP SOUTH TO
   OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST SAT AFTERNOON. MODEST CYCLOGENESIS OVER
   THE GULF STREAM SHOULD AID IN STALLING AND THEN SEWD ADVANCEMENT OF
   THE POLAR FRONT OFF THE GULF AND S ATLANTIC COASTS. MEAGER BUOYANCY
   AND MARGINAL MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL CHARACTERIZE THE WARM SECTOR
   OVER S FL...WHERE WEAK CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT MAY BE SUFFICIENT
   FOR A COUPLE OF AFTERNOON TSTMS.

   ..GRAMS.. 02/06/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z