SPC AC 140713
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0113 AM CST FRI FEB 14 2014
VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
A LOW-AMPLITUDE/PROGRESSIVE PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE
DAY 3 PERIOD...WITH A SERIES OF TROUGHS TO CROSS THE U.S. AS THEY
PROGRESS THROUGH THE FAST FLOW FIELD.
LIMITED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY EXPECTED ACROSS THE COASTAL PAC NW LATE
DAY 2 IS FORECAST TO DIMINISH/SHIFT EWD EARLY IN THE
PERIOD...PERHAPS FOLLOWED BY AN ADDITIONAL EPISODE OF SCATTERED
SHOWERS LATE IN THE PERIOD AS THE NEXT PACIFIC SYSTEM MOVES ONSHORE.
MEANWHILE...A VORT MAX CROSSING THE GREAT BASIN THROUGH THE DAY IS
PROGGED TO INDUCE LEE SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS BY AFTERNOON. OVERNIGHT...THE DEEPENING LOW IS EXPECTED TO
CROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS...ALLOWING SOME WEAK NWD RETURN OF HIGHER
THETA-E LOW-LEVEL AIR TO OCCUR. HOWEVER...WHILE AFTERNOON SHOWERS
WILL LIKELY ACCOMPANY THE UPPER SYSTEM AS IT CROSSES THE
ROCKIES...MOISTURE RETURN INTO THE CENTRAL U.S. WITHIN THE SURFACE
WARM SECTOR WILL LIKELY REMAIN INSUFFICIENT FOR APPRECIABLE
CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL E OF THE MOUNTAINS.
..GOSS.. 02/14/2014
CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z
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