DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0103 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2015 VALID TIME 191200Z - 201200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 30538093 28538364 99999999 26189628 26349801 26619921 26989958 27739950 29229849 30899728 32569688 33719729 34829786 35689811 36239801 36679736 36869663 36809587 36549447 36589309 36549204 36448979 37458793 38308716 39218652 39728603 39908511 39818399 39128309 37688267 36948157 36197987 35597877 34197657 0.05 28628987 29928862 30668797 30838842 30718951 30479046 30079189 29689459 29709561 29969666 30409683 31619634 32789605 34099619 34749608 35229562 35819456 35759265 35529164 35119000 34658826 34608740 34768625 35148509 35188311 34798150 34168011 33567919 32997936 32218040 31558112 28958501 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 27737917 27008049 26868113 26978298 99999999 27810066 29769869 30689801 31889763 32709748 33549809 35169885 36439890 37929822 38739717 38859507 38319336 38049149 38118990 38518784 39598623 39668491 38968352 37488335 36328287 35718181 34548067 33248018 31917988 0.15 27219977 28799844 30039768 31729716 32719704 33329722 34009764 34839798 35809807 36679768 37229715 37649614 37769484 37549363 36979203 36538952 36048764 35868597 35608443 35258336 34508276 33428319 32518404 31998539 31448811 29639390 28089686 27499732 26689791 25949839 0.30 34389610 34859637 35439657 36089642 36469604 36689557 36709493 36369356 35339179 34199138 32909162 31829253 30989382 30669505 30609580 30979615 31709583 32669557 33379549 34389610 SIGN 35089579 35309497 35389394 35209321 34719256 34309233 33579240 32669268 31569324 30749418 30069555 29949627 30299661 30829664 31889628 32939606 33799613 34699621 35089579 && ... WIND ... 0.05 27247932 26738148 26578288 99999999 27830036 30269816 31559759 32819748 33829786 34769808 35709821 36559791 37469705 37869527 37809226 37858998 38358849 39088757 39998645 40618545 40698425 40158331 39168283 37568213 36267962 35577877 34997756 34067580 0.15 31218053 30028290 28848479 99999999 28648975 29638920 30098900 30388898 30698951 30679091 30109289 29499507 29239663 29549717 30569724 32009675 34159661 34869656 35469599 35649478 35969239 36299054 36308850 36278612 36048490 35318251 34267992 33187812 0.30 35309011 35058923 34688884 34178869 33268922 32589010 31869145 31639314 31749404 32119429 32899416 33999375 34709314 35159201 35309011 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 36369356 35339179 35309011 35058923 34688884 34178869 33268922 32589010 31869145 31689274 30989382 30669505 30609580 30979615 31709583 32669557 33379549 34389610 34859637 35439657 36089642 36469604 36689557 36709493 36369356 SLGT 31078099 30028290 29488377 99999999 28758969 29638920 30098900 30388898 30698951 30479046 30079189 29919314 29639390 28089686 27499732 26689791 26089829 99999999 27099981 28799844 30039768 31729716 32719704 33339722 34009764 34839798 35809807 36679768 37229715 37649614 37769484 37549363 36979203 36538952 36308860 36278612 36048490 35318251 34267992 33467859 MRGL 27697923 26958053 26858119 26988324 99999999 27950047 29769869 30689801 31889763 32599750 33549809 35169885 36439890 37929822 38729717 38859507 38319336 38049149 38118990 38408842 39088757 39998645 40618545 40698425 40158331 39168283 37568213 36267962 35627882 34997756 34347632 TSTM 28430050 30689811 32589760 35910177 38260306 39730201 43659447 43779222 42649036 41668885 41218735 41798423 41358239 39668023 39347906 39757692 39087543 38467460 99999999 33040938 34811247 35761267 35811211 34710950 34860829 35580763 36970799 37630748 37830610 37070448 34600422 32890493 32540703 33040938 99999999 37901899 37311829 35761788 35401831 35471861 36501883 38172047 39302092 39572045 38591940 37901899 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW HRO 30 SSW BVX 20 NNW MEM 40 SSW MKL 30 N TUP 10 SSE TUP 50 WSW CBM 20 N JAN 20 NNW HEZ 20 E IER 40 W POE 25 E UTS 20 WSW UTS 30 NNE CLL 40 SE CRS 25 NNW TYR 20 S PRX 35 NNE DUA 35 W MLC 25 SE CQB 30 WSW TUL 20 NNW TUL 25 ESE BVO 10 WNW GMJ 25 WNW HRO. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE SSI 30 NNE CTY 40 WSW CTY ...CONT... 45 SSW BVE 25 NNE BVE 20 S GPT GPT 30 NE ASD 35 NNW MSY 10 SSE LFT 15 SSE LCH 25 SSE BPT 45 ENE CRP 20 SSE CRP 40 NNE MFE 10 SSW MFE ...CONT... 40 SSW LRD 50 S SAT 20 S AUS 10 NNE ACT 15 SW DAL 35 NNE FTW 40 WSW ADM 20 S CHK 40 NW OKC 25 NNE END 35 SSE ICT 35 W CNU 35 E CNU 25 NNW SGF 20 NNW UNO 35 N DYR 50 ENE DYR 30 ENE BNA 10 ENE CSV 10 SSE AVL 15 WNW FLO 25 SE CRE. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 E VRB 35 NW PBI 45 ENE FMY 50 SW SRQ ...CONT... 65 WNW LRD 20 NW SAT 30 NW AUS 30 NW ACT 20 SSW FTW 40 SE SPS 25 ESE CSM 25 SSW AVK 20 WSW HUT 25 E SLN 20 W OJC 30 SSE SZL 15 ESE VIH 30 S BLV 25 ENE MVN 30 SSW HUF 20 NNW IND 25 N MIE 40 SW FDY 25 WNW CMH 30 W UNI 55 WNW BLF 20 ENE GSO 15 S RDU 10 NNE OAJ 65 SE EWN. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SSE DRT 35 NW AUS 20 SW FTW 25 NW BGD 25 WNW LAA 30 NNW GLD FRM 15 SE RST 25 NE DBQ 20 NNW MMO 25 SW VPZ 25 WNW TOL 30 W CLE 15 W MGW 50 ESE MGW 35 S CXY DOV 50 E SBY ...CONT... 20 NE SAD 10 NNW PRC 30 WSW GCN 10 SSE GCN 40 NE SOW 30 SW GNT 30 NNE GNT 20 SW DRO 35 NNE DRO 30 NNW ALS 15 SSW TAD 55 SW TCC 35 SW ROW 45 ENE DMN 20 NE SAD ...CONT... 50 NW BIH BIH 10 WNW NID 40 WSW NID 25 E BFL 55 ESE FAT 45 ENE SCK 55 WNW TVL 35 W RNO 40 ESE TVL 50 NW BIH.