DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0100 AM CDT SAT MAY 09 2015 VALID TIME 091200Z - 101200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 29350172 31630148 33510165 35570261 36550313 38090446 38640489 39180493 39540474 39780465 40150427 40380368 40450293 40550184 40710114 41759845 41839727 41499613 39949500 37419366 35499303 33899211 32739219 31869307 30829463 29389708 27780023 0.05 38690404 39120415 39540399 39820365 40030238 40290071 40639874 40539765 39989683 38519634 35939627 35099607 33799555 33419495 33039462 32499465 32179516 31699630 30419814 29929977 30430057 31120065 32660060 34340111 35970183 37840323 38690404 0.10 38420313 38770319 39240303 39490222 39520131 39370055 39029990 38569949 37759903 36729906 35539972 35460018 35820049 36450094 37460186 38420313 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 28810322 30370296 32520248 33900257 35750333 37280445 38260500 38980529 40030529 40670473 41450330 41650191 42049967 42299859 42319721 41829580 41199476 39839276 39069114 38639028 38208954 37568920 35289040 33959141 32319265 30929505 29249708 27069973 0.15 29100275 30590267 32370178 34120185 35900243 38340463 38940492 40020481 40450408 40670315 41090078 41109896 41029759 40729636 40279561 39749507 38859492 38089492 36059490 34429467 33099442 32139488 29729828 28270075 0.30 30710191 31390161 31970098 32879988 33459865 33659791 33649700 33549628 33379604 33049612 32789629 32569668 32319761 31429908 30110120 30150170 30360183 30710191 0.30 38999809 37589812 36419843 35439890 34949933 34829992 34880032 35240064 36390156 37680299 38130358 38280363 38870383 39430344 39890241 40020153 40260010 40299935 40079855 38999809 0.45 37400158 37770215 38260262 38570281 38850275 38980258 39140199 39050079 38529983 37369931 36819960 36720026 36750071 37400158 SIGN 38900310 39250250 39460190 39480069 39299967 38939933 37929923 36579882 35249860 34239831 33829726 33529590 33049593 32679613 32289726 31229920 30120104 30100182 30420199 30870191 31540155 32920062 35320109 36580193 37750277 38420316 38900310 && ... WIND ... 0.05 29130272 32480209 34730239 36370311 38380484 39270484 39640471 40050427 40500326 40930167 41260036 41939854 42049743 41799612 41229518 39889328 39129192 38709065 37988974 36938960 34189113 32339159 31669206 31399294 30559472 29139711 27009985 0.15 29630182 31460113 33070087 35020130 36970249 37800334 38760381 39560366 40180225 40600059 40999919 41009830 40879740 40479653 39759608 38759605 37189606 35179525 33799406 33289364 32679367 32139411 31539541 30149800 28200099 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 39050079 38529983 37369931 36819960 36720026 36750071 37400158 37770215 38260262 38570281 38850275 39140199 39050079 ENH 40079855 38999809 37589812 36419843 35439890 34949933 34829992 34880032 35240064 36390156 37680299 38130358 38870383 39430344 39890241 40020153 40260010 40299935 40079855 ENH 33549628 33379604 33049612 32789629 32569668 32319761 31429908 30110120 30150170 30360183 30710191 31390161 31970098 32879988 33459865 33659791 33649700 33549628 SLGT 29670268 30590267 32370178 34120185 35900243 38340463 38940492 40020481 40450408 40670315 41090078 41109896 41029759 40729636 40279561 39749507 38859492 38089492 36059490 34529468 33799406 33289364 32679367 32139411 31529542 30789684 29729828 28490037 MRGL 28970309 30370296 32520247 33900257 35750332 37280445 38260500 38970529 40030529 40670473 41450330 41650191 42039967 42299859 42319721 41829579 41199476 39839276 39069114 38639027 38208954 37568920 35289040 34119110 33269149 32469158 31609206 30899402 29199695 27229960 TSTM 27329663 26309918 99999999 28840348 30690309 32550252 34190279 35520364 35960508 34260720 34200923 35231045 36301042 37481060 37981153 37791229 36731314 35941415 35801539 36521647 36271708 35391660 35021688 35231760 36041880 37552024 38412062 38882039 38791985 38161884 37111822 36781760 37321691 39301692 40561617 42071452 42821173 42461125 41061191 40451165 40541080 41580991 41610858 42140609 43960233 44510022 44549732 43899307 43279036 42288853 41638680 41718560 43478495 44718222 99999999 45106930 45796713 43937207 42117564 40047856 34498300 33908368 32738446 32758531 32968615 32508772 30929062 30199158 29309310 99999999 25168179 26248109 27328108 27998150 28778213 29628221 29968195 30028147 29618051 99999999 31708039 32878063 33808013 34977873 35777720 36297494 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ESE GLD 55 N DDC 40 W P28 35 NNE GAG 40 NW GAG 25 SE LBL 35 NNE EHA 35 SE LAA 15 NNE LAA 35 NNW LAA 35 SW ITR 15 ESE ITR 55 ESE GLD. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S HSI 30 WNW SLN 30 NE P28 30 SSE AVK 20 ENE CSM 20 N LTS 35 NE CDS 30 N CDS 55 SE BGD 20 S GUY 30 SSW LAA LHX 30 SSW LIC 15 NE LIC 45 N ITR 35 S IML 25 E MCK 35 SSW EAR 35 S HSI. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE GYI 40 WSW PRX 45 ENE DAL 35 E DAL 20 SSE DAL 35 E SEP 30 SSW BWD 55 NNW DRT 30 ENE 6R6 30 NE 6R6 50 NNE 6R6 50 SE MAF 35 ESE BGS 35 NNW ABI 35 SSW SPS 40 ESE SPS 20 WSW GYI 25 ESE GYI. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW 6R6 25 SSE FST 20 WNW BGS 10 WSW PVW 10 SE DHT 10 WNW PUB 15 NW COS 20 NNE DEN 50 WNW AKO 30 SSW SNY LBF 25 N EAR 30 SSW OLU 25 ESE LNK 15 N FNB 10 WSW STJ 10 W OJC 40 NE CNU 35 NE MKO 35 S RKR 25 N TXK 25 ESE TXK 20 NNE SHV 30 SW SHV 45 WNW LFK 30 WNW CLL 15 W BAZ 70 SSE DRT. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 SW 6R6 40 S FST 40 NNW MAF 45 WNW LBB 40 NNE TCC TAD 25 W PUB 30 WNW COS 30 NW DEN 20 NE FCL 30 NW SNY 50 WSW MHN 30 WNW BUB 15 SSE ONL 25 NNE OFK 20 E TQE 45 NE SDA 20 SSW IRK 45 WNW STL 10 SSE STL 30 SE BLV 15 S MDH 30 NW MEM 45 N GLH 30 SSE LLQ 25 E MLU 20 NE ESF 50 ESE LFK 25 N VCT 25 SSW LRD. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ESE CRP 60 W MFE ...CONT... 110 SSE MRF 20 SSW FST 40 ESE HOB 35 ESE CVS 25 N TCC 20 N LVS 25 NW ONM 45 E SOW 20 NE INW 70 SE PGA U17 40 ENE BCE 10 NW BCE 35 SE SGU 50 NNW IGM 25 SW LAS 30 WSW DRA 55 NE NID 40 NNE DAG 15 NNW DAG 30 NE EDW 45 NNE BFL 25 NE MER 45 SW TVL 20 W TVL 10 SE TVL 60 NNW BIH 20 SSE BIH 60 SE BIH 55 S TPH 20 SE U31 25 SW EKO 30 S TWF 45 E PIH 55 ENE MLD 10 SSE OGD 30 SE SLC 55 SSE EVW 45 W RKS 25 E RKS 55 SW DGW 35 E RAP 10 NNE PIR 25 SSW ATY 30 W RST 10 WNW LNR 30 E RFD 15 NE VPZ 35 S AZO 45 W MBS 60 ENE OSC ...CONT... 30 NW BGR 40 SE HUL 25 NNE LEB 20 ESE BGM 20 SW AOO 15 W AND 20 W AHN 30 ENE CSG 10 NE AUO 45 SSW ANB 45 WNW SEM 20 SSW MCB 25 E LFT 60 S LCH ...CONT... 40 N EYW 40 E APF 30 SE AGR 25 NNW AGR 30 SSE OCF GNV 25 NE GNV 10 WNW SGJ 45 NE DAB ...CONT... 55 ESE SAV 35 W CHS 35 SW FLO 10 E FAY 40 E RWI 70 E ECG.