DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0103 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015 VALID TIME 161200Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 46190963 45400711 44860486 44510339 44690122 44839972 43829863 42559839 40429968 39430105 39440294 40370463 41330636 41640711 42550849 43340964 44091035 45081057 46190963 0.02 27159654 29719790 32499874 33429910 33869888 34709750 35389637 35409519 33789379 32329345 30689311 29919295 28189268 0.05 44180567 43890221 43210067 42710028 41260031 40710117 40550258 40610396 40930478 41260576 41750655 42770663 44180567 0.05 27559586 28849682 31019789 31819802 32389688 32309574 31199504 30539499 29689480 29159445 28489405 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 46651169 46661052 46120955 44960541 44480333 44799972 43909864 42449843 40429973 39500106 39410289 38460327 37980383 37900529 38550555 40010589 40960671 41500762 42570931 43241048 44021180 45261254 46121244 46651169 0.15 41360037 40600121 40570281 40580391 41290581 41820656 42810664 44250573 43920227 43170057 42780028 41360037 && ... WIND ... 0.05 27159658 28789733 29749790 31439840 33459914 34939838 36839627 38209378 38959031 39618642 39828391 40578080 41277776 41897638 42337573 42807479 43337367 43417246 43207193 41837215 41317215 40267221 99999999 34647490 35387580 36367825 36618131 36778567 36568865 35719132 33979292 32479324 30619312 28939277 28159269 0.05 46661164 46621050 46180968 45030575 44490317 44730122 44839967 43829863 42339843 40429968 39500106 39380284 38420331 37970396 37830528 38510554 39920577 40960671 42090861 43261034 44081188 45251259 46201247 46661164 0.15 41370027 40670122 40560296 40610396 41270596 41820656 42810664 44180572 44160514 43880232 43140056 42570027 41370027 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 41290031 40680117 40540272 40610396 41250585 41820656 42770663 43980583 44220562 43890221 43210067 42710028 41290031 SLGT 27559589 28389642 28849682 29329705 29849734 31059792 31849802 32389685 32309570 31169504 30609502 30239492 29789483 28459398 MRGL 41000667 41470756 42060856 43051006 44011185 45281261 46161246 46661164 46621056 46120961 45470718 44990547 44480323 44680132 44799982 43909864 42449843 41019929 40429973 39460110 39380284 38500323 38020383 37900529 38480554 40010589 41000667 MRGL 27129651 29719790 31799852 33459914 34939838 36839627 38209378 38959031 39618642 39828391 40578080 41277776 41897638 42337573 42807479 43327367 43417246 43207193 41837215 41317215 40307219 99999999 34577489 35387580 36367825 36618131 36778566 36568865 35719132 34079291 32479324 30549308 29139282 28189268 TSTM 31101166 33511067 34401059 35650971 36560939 38740922 39820924 41220941 42341004 42901150 43411331 44211509 45191621 45821682 46681738 47111774 47621856 49052095 99999999 49450681 48930697 48330686 47840640 47240558 47060470 47200395 47250334 47260139 47079822 46849563 46359424 45489302 44729205 43679075 42888972 42028849 41478698 41208583 40988404 41138281 41568072 41848010 42937781 43627645 44647501 45197453 99999999 47066984 45306927 43547025 42207126 41297163 40307198 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE LBF 25 ENE IML 35 NE AKO 50 NW AKO 10 WSW LAR 35 E RWL 10 SW CPR 30 SSW GCC 10 SSW GCC 30 WSW PHP 25 NNW VTN 15 SE VTN 20 ENE LBF. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 SSE PSX 25 SSW PSX VCT 35 NNW VCT 40 SE AUS 30 WSW TPL 30 SSE SEP 35 S DAL 20 W TYR 20 WSW LFK 30 ESE UTS 45 NNE HOU 30 ENE HOU 75 SE GLS. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NE CAG 30 SW RWL 40 NE RKS 35 N BPI 35 NNE IDA DLN 15 N BTM 20 ENE HLN 35 WNW 3HT 25 SSE 3HT 50 NNW SHR 30 S 4BQ 30 NNW RAP 45 NNE PHP 35 NE PIR 30 WNW MHE 15 E ONL 25 NW EAR 45 WSW EAR 35 ENE GLD 30 WNW ITR 35 NNE LHX 15 W LHX 45 NE ALS 50 WSW COS 55 WSW FCL 55 NE CAG. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 SE CRP 10 E BAZ 25 E BWD 50 SW SPS 20 N FSI 15 WNW BVO 40 SSW SZL 15 WNW ALN 10 SW IND 15 ESE DAY 30 NNW HLG 30 N UNV 30 SW BGM 15 NE BGM 40 SE UCA GFL 15 SSW LEB 20 W CON 25 ESE BDL GON 60 SE ISP ...CONT... 60 SE HSE 15 NW HSE 25 SSW AVC 45 S BLF 45 ESE BWG 35 S PAH 20 E BVX 30 SSE HOT 35 E SHV 30 NNE LCH 60 SW 7R4 115 SSW 7R4. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 SSW TUS 65 SW SOW 35 WNW SOW 55 W GUP 65 SW CEZ 30 E CNY 45 SSE VEL 30 SW RKS 15 S BPI 50 SE IDA 50 NW PIH 65 NW SUN 20 NNW MYL 40 SSE LWS 15 WSW PUW 35 SSW GEG 50 W GEG 75 ENE BLI ...CONT... 85 N GGW 50 NNW GGW 15 WNW GGW 30 SSE GGW 35 WNW GDV GDV 35 SSE SDY 40 NW DIK 25 S N60 25 ENE JMS 10 E DTL BRD 45 NNE MSP 30 WSW EAU 30 ESE LSE 25 SW MSN 35 ESE RFD VPZ 35 WNW FWA 20 W FDY 25 NW MFD 20 N YNG 15 SSE ERI 15 SSW ROC 35 SW ART 20 SSW MSS 25 NE MSS ...CONT... 85 W CAR 40 NNW BGR 10 SSE PWM 20 SW BOS 10 NNW BID 65 SSW BID.