DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0302 PM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015 VALID TIME 212000Z - 221200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 49589986 47999866 46939746 45779616 44839357 43929282 43059326 42589378 42289518 42269635 42409930 41670193 41290282 41290349 41500383 43090393 44290438 44980547 45830637 46090643 47000620 48100506 49120416 0.02 38729592 39149628 39369626 39669630 39789585 39629521 39309470 39089376 38979213 39059077 38948967 38438927 38138925 37849018 37849149 38729592 0.05 47770152 46980051 46010015 45280023 44790085 44400225 44550321 45980464 47020472 47760424 48280337 48300256 47770152 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 45297181 43787293 41747460 39147501 38537634 37477903 36078200 35788624 36078880 36159123 36619346 37819603 38949783 39929987 40210134 41060442 42630499 43830610 44570853 44801111 44621408 44631497 44871536 45301558 46061477 46841213 47620894 48160726 48580647 49340542 99999999 49249661 47819550 45579253 44759136 41769010 41228898 41008650 41208545 42128422 42808227 0.15 49249759 47629712 46009547 44869349 43829342 42699393 42359506 42409826 42810096 43230330 44720689 45530822 46420816 47480617 49370426 0.15 37969331 39449661 39969677 40459634 40469492 40159087 39358782 39168642 39128375 39768094 39327997 38258031 36908278 36948492 37018628 37128780 37308931 37969331 0.30 44830226 45250344 46000413 46650416 47820387 48150335 48230282 48110220 47020092 45720019 45240084 44830226 SIGN 45790453 46500465 47330447 47880396 48250318 48110205 47670108 45670014 44720093 44390282 45080430 45790453 && ... WIND ... 0.05 49529644 47829537 45869290 44879136 42239023 41208863 41028694 41128502 42038233 99999999 45357197 42847323 42267293 42197181 41777143 41117169 40227321 39007572 38597668 37047911 36178107 35638394 35638620 36358977 36849208 38029522 38909743 39499877 39959977 40210095 40690280 40940382 41090447 42680504 43880619 44550844 44761118 44631358 44621516 45061586 45891511 46731188 47390895 48070695 48740611 49380541 0.15 40449482 40159302 39869067 39608851 39378678 39418485 39898265 40378123 40428031 40277910 40007798 39457804 38777858 37907917 37348009 36978078 36798161 36628305 36688533 37108978 37599198 38009331 39019555 39519619 39929628 40289592 40419561 40449482 0.15 49309770 47519705 46419575 45749460 45019316 44189226 43359198 42089290 41709380 41449516 42049776 42970220 43720450 44960718 45610751 46400722 47220619 48340481 49210388 0.30 45830323 46470261 47320155 47480121 47490068 47419996 46909909 45289620 44109469 43219470 42899484 42599614 43379886 44520284 45150339 45830323 SIGN 45409654 44869554 44159469 43619447 43169452 42689477 42459582 43019814 43970195 44740430 45710437 46230374 46740178 46750090 46739995 45959814 45409654 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 48110220 47410136 47490068 47419996 46909909 45289620 44109469 43219470 42899484 42599614 43379886 44520284 45150339 46000413 46650416 47820387 48150335 48230282 48110220 SLGT 48999752 48129727 47579707 47259673 46419575 45749460 45019317 44189226 43359198 42089290 41709380 41449516 42049776 42970220 43120264 43230330 43630420 43720450 43990506 44720689 45530822 46420816 47480617 49000463 SLGT 39457804 38777858 37907917 37348009 36978077 36798161 36628305 36688533 37108978 37599198 37929305 37969331 39449661 39969677 40459634 40469492 40159087 39668893 39608851 39378678 39418485 39898265 40378123 40428031 40277910 40007798 39457804 MRGL 49009611 47829537 46069315 45869290 44879136 42239023 41208863 41028694 41078614 41128502 41818298 99999999 45027202 44507240 42847323 42267293 42197181 41777143 41117169 40317305 39997369 39007572 38597668 37047911 36178107 35638394 35638620 36358977 36849208 38029522 38909743 39499877 39959977 40210095 40690280 40940382 41090447 42680504 43880619 44550844 44761118 44631358 44621516 45061586 45891511 46731188 47380895 48060695 48740611 49010582 TSTM 31110665 34750660 38300570 40090534 41560526 43180566 43820771 44141073 43861493 42741882 42312106 42592182 43062194 43552188 44322142 44702075 45941825 47051464 47661276 48171218 48571270 49301477 99999999 46132247 47172167 48232078 48352005 47781975 46791992 45962041 45592134 45672222 46132247 99999999 48499137 47329154 46679145 45779071 44619005 43568946 42528833 41688689 42228483 44538161 99999999 46347055 43727064 40347087 99999999 37039608 38109695 39009847 39479948 39540028 37920125 36960271 35730358 34100442 32570475 31640424 31330282 31860176 34649897 36139630 37039608 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW MOT 15 S N60 35 ESE N60 55 NE BIS 20 W JMS 10 E VVV 35 NNW FRM 25 E SPW 25 SE SPW 20 NE SUX 35 SE 9V9 35 NNE RAP 30 SSE 2WX 25 SSE BHK 20 NNE BHK 15 ENE SDY 15 E ISN 35 E ISN 45 WSW MOT. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW HCO 15 NNW GFK 25 S GFK 25 N FAR 30 SSE DTL 30 WNW STC 10 NNE MSP 20 NNE RST 45 SE RST 40 SW ALO 15 NNW DSM 40 SSE DNS 20 WNW OFK 45 ENE CDR 30 NE CDR 30 NNW CDR 65 WSW RAP 65 SE GCC 35 SE GCC SHR 25 SE BIL 45 NNE BIL 50 SSW OLF 75 NW ISN. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM MRB 40 NNE SHD 30 SSW SHD ROA 10 SSW PSK 40 SSW BLF 35 WNW TRI 55 NNW CSV 15 SW CGI 15 SE TBN 50 WNW TBN 50 N SGF 20 N MHK 25 S BIE 25 ENE BIE 35 SE SDA 20 NE UIN 10 SSW DEC 15 NW MTO 15 NNW BMG 30 NW LUK 15 ESE CMH 35 WNW HLG PIT 15 E LBE 25 NNW HGR MRB. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW ROX 30 NW BJI 50 ESE BRD 60 ENE STC EAU 25 ESE DBQ 10 SSE MMO 30 S VPZ 45 SSE SBN 15 NE FWA 35 SSE DTW ...CONT... 15 NE EFK 20 NNE MPV 30 N PSF 15 NW BAF ORH PVD BID 35 S ISP 35 E NEL 15 SW DOV 25 NNW NHK 20 SSE LYH 35 NNE HKY 15 SSE TYS 45 SE BNA 30 NW DYR 15 WNW UNO 30 NNE CNU 15 ENE SLN 45 N RSL 40 N HLC 20 W MCK 30 SSE SNY 45 WSW SNY 20 ESE CYS 15 ESE DGW 45 SW GCC 30 E COD WEY 35 SSE SMN 50 ESE MYL 15 NE MYL 30 SE P69 10 NNE HLN 35 NE LWT 20 SW GGW 45 NNE GGW 65 N OLF. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSW ELP 20 S ABQ 60 N ALS 30 SW FCL 25 NE LAR 35 NNW DGW 15 SE WRL 35 N JAC 40 NW SUN 50 WNW REO 35 WNW LKV 30 N LMT 65 N LMT 60 SW RDM 15 WNW RDM 35 NNE RDM 10 S ALW 30 WNW MSO 65 WNW GTF 30 SSE CTB 15 WSW CTB 70 NNW GPI ...CONT... 40 N PDX 35 ESE SEA 60 WSW OMK 25 WSW OMK 35 NE EAT 35 ENE YKM 45 S YKM 10 WSW DLS 20 ENE PDX 40 N PDX ...CONT... 45 NNE ELO 10 NW BFW 25 WNW ASX 55 S ASX 20 WSW CWA 30 NNW MSN 30 WSW RAC 15 NNE VPZ 20 W JXN 85 NE BAX ...CONT... 120 NNE BML 15 WNW PWM 70 SSE BID ...CONT... 20 N BVO 40 NE ICT 20 ENE RSL 20 ENE HLC 25 WNW HLC 30 W GCK 25 SSW SPD 40 N TCC 55 N ROW 35 WNW CNM 35 ESE GDP 30 NNE FST 25 ESE MAF 15 E LTS 25 W TUL 20 N BVO.