Feb 27, 2015 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Feb 27 00:13:12 UTC 2015 (20150227 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20150227 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20150227 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20150227 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20150227 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20150227 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 270013

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0613 PM CST THU FEB 26 2015

   VALID 270100Z - 271200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ACROSS THE CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES
   THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE MAJORITY OF THE CONUS REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A BROAD
   AREA OF CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT WITH A RATHER COOL AND STABLE AIR MASS
   AT THE SURFACE DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE. WHAT WEAK INSTABILITY THAT DID
   EXIST EARLIER ACROSS SRN FL IS QUICKLY DWINDLING WITH THE LOSS OF
   HEATING. TO THE W...AN EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE FOUR
   CORNERS AREA HAD INDUCED A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES EARLIER IN THE
   DAY...BUT LOSS OF HEATING WILL LIKELY END THIS WEAK CONVECTION AS
   WELL.

   ..JEWELL.. 02/27/2015

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z