Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 050059
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0759 PM CDT SAT APR 04 2015
VALID 050100Z - 051200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE TONIGHT...MAINLY ACROSS PARTS OF
NORTH TEXAS AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO
OCCUR TONIGHT ALONG COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA.
...SOUTHERN PLAINS...
A WEAK EMBEDDED MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND A PERSISTENT/SOMEWHAT
INCREASING WARM ADVECTION REGIME WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT AT LEAST
WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT...MAINLY ACROSS PARTS OF
NORTH/NORTHEAST TX INTO SOUTHERN OK THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
GIVEN THAT REGIONAL 00Z OBSERVED SOUNDINGS ONLY SAMPLED RELATIVELY
MODEST MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES/ELEVATED BUOYANCY...HAIL POTENTIAL IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIMITED AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE UNLIKELY.
...WEST COAST...
AS A SURFACE TROUGH APPROACHES THE COAST LATER TONIGHT AND MID-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES CONTINUE TO STEEPEN...LOW-TOPPED THUNDERSTORMS COULD
OCCUR LATER TONIGHT MAINLY ALONG COASTAL ORE/NORTHERN CA.
..GUYER.. 04/05/2015
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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