Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
15 %
7,162
62,895
North Platte, NE...
5 %
40,688
161,971
Lexington, NE...Lamar, CO...
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
15 %
7,262
63,079
North Platte, NE...
5 %
40,587
161,237
Lexington, NE...Lamar, CO...
SPC AC 140044
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0744 PM CDT THU AUG 13 2015
VALID 140100Z - 141200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR PORTIONS OF CNTRL AND SWRN
NEB...
...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CNTRL HIGH
PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS ARE POSSIBLE FROM CENTRAL NEBRASKA INTO THE SOUTH-CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS THIS EVENING.
...NEB SANDHILLS AND CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...
WATER-VAPOR LOOP SHOWS A DISTURBANCE CRESTING THE RIDGE OVER THE
N-CNTRL PLAINS AND THIS FEATURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE SEWD TOWARDS THE
MID-LOWER MO VALLEY BY MORNING. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH/WINDSHIFT
ORIENTED PRIMARILY N-S OVER THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS WILL SERVE AS A
FOCUS FOR WIDELY-SPACED TSTM CLUSTERS THIS EVENING. WITH ONLY
MODEST SLY H85 FLOW PROGGED BY MODELS OVER THIS REGION THIS
EVENING/TONIGHT...A GRADUAL DIMINISHING IN STORM COVERAGE/INTENSITY
IS EXPECTED BY THE MID-LATE EVENING. IN THE MEANTIME...SUFFICIENT
BUOYANCY AND VEERING WIND PROFILES WILL SUPPORT A FEW OF THE
STRONGER STORMS TO BE CAPABLE OF AN ISOLD LARGE-HAIL AND MARGINALLY
SEVERE-WIND THREAT.
ELSEWHERE...A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS MAY OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF THE
DESERT SW PRIOR TO ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING AND DIURNAL
STABILIZATION THIS EVENING.
..SMITH.. 08/14/2015
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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