Aug 25, 2015 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Aug 25 00:39:18 UTC 2015 (20150825 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20150825 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20150825 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20150825 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20150825 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20150825 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 250039

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0739 PM CDT MON AUG 24 2015

   VALID 250100Z - 251200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   ISOLATED TO SCATTERED NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS
   EVENING FROM EASTERN NEW YORK SOUTH SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE
   MID-ATLANTIC AND CAROLINAS. OTHER NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
   CONTINUE THIS EVENING ACROSS FLORIDA...THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
   VALLEY...SOUTHERN PLAINS AND DESERT SOUTHWEST.

   AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT EWD ACROSS ONTARIO THIS
   EVENING AS AN ASSOCIATED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVES EWD ACROSS THE
   GREAT LAKES REGION AND OH VALLEY. A COLD FRONT OVER THE CNTRL AND
   NRN APPALACHIAN MTNS WILL ADVANCE EWD INTO THE ATLANTIC COASTAL
   PLAINS THIS EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING AHEAD OF THE
   FRONT FROM ERN NY SSWWD INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC MAY PRODUCE GUSTY
   WINDS FOR A COUPLE MORE HOURS THIS EVENING. DUE TO WEAK
   INSTABILITY...THE ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. OTHER
   THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING ACROSS FL...THE LOWER MS
   VALLEY...SRN PLAINS AND DESERT SOUTHWEST. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD ALSO
   REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS DUE TO WEAK INSTABILITY.

   ..BROYLES.. 08/25/2015

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z