Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 090045
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0645 PM CST SUN NOV 08 2015
VALID 090100Z - 091200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST FROM THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA INTO A PORTION OF THE SOUTHEAST STATES TONIGHT.
...SERN U.S....
QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT PERSISTS FROM THE NRN FL PANHANDLE INTO THE
NRN GULF. A SLY LLJ WILL STRENGTHEN IN COOL SECTOR IN ASSOCIATION
WITH A PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE LOWER
MS VALLEY REGION. THE RESULTING THETA-E ADVECTION WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY IN COOL SECTOR WHICH SHOULD INCREASE
POTENTIAL FOR A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES FROM ERN AL INTO GA LATER
TONIGHT.
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO PERSIST IN WARM SECTOR
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT OVER PORTIONS OF THE FL PENINSULA IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A PROGRESSIVE VORTICITY MAXIMUM. HOWEVER...THE
STRONGER WINDS ALOFT WILL REMAIN MUCH FARTHER NORTH IN POST FRONTAL
ZONE RESULTING IN WEAK SHEAR IN WARM SECTOR AND LIMITED PROSPECTS
FOR SEVERE STORMS.
..DIAL.. 11/09/2015
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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