Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 241953
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0153 PM CST TUE NOV 24 2015
VALID 242000Z - 251200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
NO CHANGE TO THE ONGOING FORECAST.
..SMITH.. 11/24/2015
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1007 AM CST TUE NOV 24 2015/
...SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...
A MID TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW ALONG THE WA/ORE COASTS WILL PROGRESS SEWD
INTO NWRN NV IN RESPONSE TO THE PROGRESSION OF AN UPSTREAM JET
STREAK INTO THE GREAT BASIN. RESULTANT ADIABATIC COOLING ATOP
MOISTENING ONSHORE FLOW IN THE LOW LEVELS WILL PROMOTE WEAK BUOYANCY
AND THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG COASTAL LOCATIONS FROM
SWRN ORE TO CNTRL CA. A MANIFESTATION OF THESE DIFFERENTIAL
ADVECTIONS IS POSSIBLY BEING CONFIRMED BY THE RECENT DEVELOPMENT OF
SHALLOW...LIGHTNING-PRODUCING CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS NEAR AND JUST
OFFSHORE OF EUREKA CA. GUSTY WINDS AND PERHAPS SOME SMALL HAIL
COULD ACCOMPANY THE STRONGEST STORMS...THOUGH NO SEVERE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED.
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
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