Dec 5, 2015 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Dec 5 05:35:11 UTC 2015 (20151205 1200Z Day 1 shapefile | 20151205 1200Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20151205 1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20151205 1200 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20151205 1200 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20151205 1200 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 050535

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1135 PM CST FRI DEC 04 2015

   VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   THE RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS APPEARS NEGLIGIBLE ACROSS THE U.S. TODAY.

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A QUIESCENT PATTERN FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AND SEVERE WEATHER
   POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE AS THE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN BECOMES MORE
   PROGRESSIVE.  COOL/DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS WILL ENCOMPASS MUCH OF
   THE LOWER 48 STATES AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

   ..SMITH/PICCA.. 12/05/2015

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z