Storm Prediction Center Jan 13, 2015 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

Jan 13, 2015 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

Updated: Tue Jan 13 17:15:09 UTC 2015 (

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Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table

Categorical Graphic

Day 2 Risk	Area (sq. mi.)	Area Pop.	Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Probabilistic Graphic

20150113 1730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic

Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.

Day 2 Prob. Risk	Area (sq. mi.)	Area Pop.	Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

   SPC AC 131715

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1115 AM CST TUE JAN 13 2015

   VALID 141200Z - 151200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY OCCUR IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
   AROUND MIDDAY ON WEDNESDAY. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CONTINENTAL UNITED
   STATES...THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
   NIGHT.

   ...DISCUSSION...
   AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION WEDNESDAY MORNING
   WILL WEAKEN BY AFTERNOON AS THE SYSTEM MOVES EWD INTO THE SRN HIGH
   PLAINS. ANOTHER UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE ATLANTIC
   SEABOARD AS A SFC LOW DEEPENS OVER THE GULF STREAM. ISOLATED
   THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY COULD OCCUR ALONG AN AXIS OF LOW-LEVEL
   CONVERGENCE ACROSS FAR ERN NC AROUND MIDDAY ON WEDNESDAY JUST AHEAD
   OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SEVERE
   LEVELS DUE TO WEAK INSTABILITY. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
   CONUS...THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND
   WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

   ..BROYLES.. 01/13/2015

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z