Jan 17, 2015 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Jan 17 06:17:49 UTC 2015 (20150117 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20150117 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20150117 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20150117 0700 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 170617

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1217 AM CST SAT JAN 17 2015

   VALID 181200Z - 191200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN VERY LIMITED ON SUNDAY.

   ...DISCUSSION...
   STEADY LARGE-SCALE PATTERN AMPLIFICATION WILL CONTINUE TO OCCUR OVER
   THE EASTERN CONUS INTO SUNDAY...WITH AN EASTWARD MOVING UPPER
   TROUGH/COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO GENERALLY REACH THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
   BY THE AFTERNOON. MOISTURE/BUOYANCY WILL REMAIN LIMITED INLAND AHEAD
   OF THE FRONT...BUT A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE
   SUNDAY MORNING ALONG COASTAL NC/OUTER BANKS. ELSEWHERE...VERY WEAK
   BUOYANCY ASSOCIATED WITH LOW-TOPPED/POST-FRONTAL CONVECTION COULD
   YIELD A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES ACROSS THE COASTAL PACIFIC NORTHWEST.

   ..GUYER.. 01/17/2015

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z