Jan 19, 2015 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Jan 19 17:02:22 UTC 2015 (20150119 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20150119 1730Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20150119 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20150119 1730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 191702

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1102 AM CST MON JAN 19 2015

   VALID 201200Z - 211200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TUESDAY.

   ...SYNOPSIS...

   DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE CONUS
   THROUGH THE DAY2 PERIOD.  ONE AREA WHERE WEAK ELEVATED CONVECTION
   MAY DEVELOP IS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NERN GULF BASIN INTO THE NRN
   FL PENINSULA.  LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS FOCUSED ASCENT WITHIN
   EXIT REGION OF INTENSIFYING MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX WILL SPREAD ACROSS
   THIS REGION.  WHILE MID-LEVEL ASCENT/MOISTENING IS
   EXPECTED...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST UPDRAFTS WILL REMAIN SHALLOW
   AND SHOULD NOT PENETRATE LEVELS NECESSARY FOR LIGHTNING DISCHARGE.

   ..DARROW.. 01/19/2015

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z