SPC AC 021715

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1115 AM CST MON FEB 02 2015

   VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MIGHT OCCUR OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS TUESDAY.

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LOW AMPLITUDE FLOW REGIME WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE NRN TIER OF
   STATES ON TUESDAY IN WAKE OF A DEPARTING UPPER TROUGH OVER THE
   CANADIAN MARITIMES.  A MID-LEVEL LOW WILL MIGRATE NEWD FROM CNTRL
   MEXICO INTO S TX DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD.  IN THE LOW LEVELS...A
   SURFACE RIDGE WILL EXTEND THROUGH THE TX COASTAL PLAIN FROM AN AREA
   OF EXTENSIVE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE SERN STATES.  

   ...DEEP S TX...
   INCREASING LARGE-SCALE ASCENT /DCVA/ ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LEVEL
   LOW AND ISENTROPIC LIFT ATOP A COOL DOME OVER MUCH OF TX WILL LIKELY
   LEAD TO SHOWER ACTIVITY AS THE COLUMN MOISTENS.  MODEST MID-LEVEL
   LAPSE RATES MAY PROVE SUFFICIENT FOR WEAK BUOYANCY TO DEVELOP FROM
   PARCELS LIFTED NEAR H7.  AS A RESULT...IT REMAINS PLAUSIBLE A FEW
   WEAK THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR OVER PARTS OF S TX.

   ..SMITH.. 02/02/2015

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z