Mar 7, 2015 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Mar 7 05:32:43 UTC 2015 (20150307 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20150307 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20150307 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20150307 0700 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 070532

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1132 PM CST FRI MAR 06 2015

   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   ISOLATED WEAK THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO
   DURING THE DAY.

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A SPLIT-FLOW REGIME WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE CONUS WITH NWLY FLOW
   EXTENDING FROM CANADA INTO THE NERN STATES AND A WEAKER UPPER TROUGH
   DRIFTING EWD ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES AND PLAINS. 

   STRONG HEATING BENEATH COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL LEAD TO ISOLATED
   WEAK THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ACROSS SRN NEW MEXICO DURING THE
   DAY...AIDED BY TERRAIN...BUT SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

   OVERNIGHT AS THE TROUGH CONTINUES EWD ACROSS TX...LIFT WILL INCREASE
   ATOP A GENERALLY STABLE SURFACE AIR MASS WITH HIGH PRESSURE.
   WIDESPREAD RAIN IS LIKELY OVER MUCH OF ERN AND SRN TX...BUT FORECAST
   SOUNDINGS SHOW VERY STABLE PROFILES WITH THUNDERSTORMS UNLIKELY.

   ..JEWELL.. 03/07/2015

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z