SPC AC 160509

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1209 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2015

   VALID 171200Z - 181200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ON SATURDAY ACROSS THE
   CONTIGUOUS UNITED STATES.

   ...INTERIOR WEST...
   A MID-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY WILL WEAKEN DURING
   THE DAY AS A MORE POTENT UPSTREAM TROUGH EVOLVES ALONG THE WEST
   COAST.  THE MID-LEVEL COLD POCKET WILL APPROACH THE SIERRA NEVADA
   AND WILL CONTRIBUTE TO WEAK BUOYANCY ACROSS THE WRN GREAT BASIN AS
   LARGE-SCALE ASCENT OVERSPREADS THE GREAT BASIN FROM THE WEST. 
   SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL MAXIMIZE IN AREAL COVERAGE
   COINCIDENT WITH PEAK HEATING AND ALSO WHERE FORCING FOR ASCENT IS
   STRONGER.  FARTHER SOUTH OVER AZ...AMPLE HEATING IN THE LOWER
   DESERTS WILL STEEPEN LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES BUT A GENERALLY MODEST
   WIND PROFILE WILL TEND TO LIMIT STORM VIGOR.

   ..SMITH.. 10/16/2015

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z