Nov 24, 2015 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Nov 24 16:54:45 UTC 2015 (20151124 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20151124 1730Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20151124 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20151124 1730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 241654

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1054 AM CST TUE NOV 24 2015

   VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ACROSS THE UNITED STATES
   WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A MID-LEVEL LOW AND ASSOCIATED TROUGH WILL MIGRATE SLOWLY EWD ACROSS
   THE GREAT BASIN DURING THE PERIOD WHILE A RIDGE BUILDS DOWNSTREAM
   OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE SRN APPALACHIANS.  SLY LOW-LEVEL
   FLOW OVER THE CNTRL-SRN PLAINS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO INCREASING
   MOISTURE/CLOUDS FROM THE SRN HIGH PLAINS INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS.  A
   PROLONGED PERIOD OF GRADUAL MOISTENING/ISENTROPIC ASCENT WILL
   PROMOTE THE EVENTUAL DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
   ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL-SRN PLAINS PRIMARILY LATE IN THE
   PERIOD.  WEAK INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY HINDER STRONG UPDRAFT
   DEVELOPMENT AND PRECLUDE LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES.

   ..SMITH.. 11/24/2015

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z