Jan 7, 2015 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Wed Jan 7 08:11:14 UTC 2015 (20150107 0830Z Day 3 shapefile | 20150107 0830Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20150107 0830 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20150107 0830 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 070811

   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0211 AM CST WED JAN 07 2015

   VALID 091200Z - 101200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED IN THE U.S. ON FRIDAY.

   ...DISCUSSION...

   UPPER PATTERN WILL REMAIN DOMINATED BY A SYNOPTIC TROUGH OVER THE
   ERN U.S. WITH AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE PACIFIC NW. CUTOFF UPPER LOW
   IS FORECAST TO DRIFT SLOWLY EWD THROUGH NRN MEXICO INTO SWRN TX. AT
   THE SFC ANOTHER IN A SERIES OF CP HIGH PRESSURE AREAS WILL MOVE SWD
   THROUGH THE CNTRL AND SRN STATES. SWLY WINDS ALOFT DOWNSTREAM FROM
   UPPER LOW OVER NRN MEXICO SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO ISENTROPIC ASCENT
   ABOVE THE SFC RIDGE BUILDING SWD THROUGH TX. VERY WEAK ELEVATED CAPE
   MAY DEVELOP ABOVE THE LOW-LEVEL STABLE LAYER AND SUPPORT THE
   LIKELIHOOD OF SHOWERS. HOWEVER...AT THIS TIME IT DOES NOT APPEAR
   INSTABILITY WILL BECOME SUFFICIENT FOR THUNDERSTORMS.

   ..DIAL.. 01/07/2015

   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z