Mar 3, 2017 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Mar 3 00:39:22 UTC 2017 (20170303 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20170303 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20170303 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20170303 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20170303 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20170303 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 030039

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0639 PM CST Thu Mar 02 2017

   Valid 030100Z - 031200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   No severe thunderstorms will occur through Friday morning.

   ...Discussion...
   Little if any thunderstorm potential will exist for the remainder of
   the period across the CONUS. A few highly elevated showers have been
   noted recently across the middle TX coast, with 00Z CRP sounding
   showing weak instability rooted near 700 mb.  This activity is
   expected to wane soon as height rises occur and the weak instability
   is reduced.  

   Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected.

   ..Jewell.. 03/03/2017

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z