Nov 8, 2017 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Nov 8 00:46:35 UTC 2017 (20171108 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20171108 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20171108 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20171108 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20171108 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20171108 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 080046

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0646 PM CST Tue Nov 07 2017

   Valid 080100Z - 081200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   A few thunderstorms remain possible from Louisiana to the coastal
   Carolinas this evening.

   ...DISCUSSION...
   Westerly mid-level flow will be in place this evening into tonight
   from the southern Rockies eastward across the lower to mid
   Mississippi Valley and into the Carolinas. At the surface, a cold
   front is located from southeast Texas east-northeastward across the
   Gulf Coast states into the Carolinas. Isolated thunderstorms will be
   possible along the front this evening. No severe threat is expected
   to develop due to weak instability.

   ..Broyles.. 11/08/2017

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z