Nov 10, 2017 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Nov 10 05:33:06 UTC 2017 (20171110 1200Z Day 1 shapefile | 20171110 1200Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20171110 1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20171110 1200 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20171110 1200 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20171110 1200 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 100533

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1133 PM CST Thu Nov 09 2017

   Valid 101200Z - 111200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe weather is not forecast today and tonight.

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level low/trough along the OR coast early Friday morning will
   weaken as it moves into the Northern Rockies.  A progressive
   low-amplitude mid- to high-level flow pattern will continue across
   the Lower 48 states through Friday night.  A large area of surface
   high pressure centered over the Great Lakes will gradually shift
   east during the period.  A couple of weak thunderstorms are possible
   during the day over portions of OR and perhaps the east coast of FL.

   ..Smith/Leitman.. 11/10/2017

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z