Nov 10, 2017 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Nov 10 12:49:50 UTC 2017 (20171110 1300Z Day 1 shapefile | 20171110 1300Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20171110 1300 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20171110 1300 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20171110 1300 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20171110 1300 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 101249

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0649 AM CST Fri Nov 10 2017

   Valid 101300Z - 111200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe weather is not forecast today and tonight.

   ...Synopsis...
   The flow regime will trend toward zonal today across the CONUS, as a
   deep midlevel trough moves over New England, and another trough
   progresses inland from the Pacific Northwest coast to the northern
   Rockies.  Ascent and steep lapse rates with the Pacific Northwest
   trough will support a continued threat for isolated lightning
   strikes today across OR.  There may also be sufficient low-level
   moistening/destabilization for isolated lightning strikes with
   convection along the southeast FL coast later today into tonight. 
   Elsewhere, a relatively cool and/or dry air mass in the low levels
   will preclude any threat for thunderstorms.

   ..Thompson.. 11/10/2017

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z