Nov 10, 2017 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Nov 10 15:53:27 UTC 2017 (20171110 1630Z Day 1 shapefile | 20171110 1630Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20171110 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20171110 1630 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20171110 1630 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20171110 1630 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 101553

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0953 AM CST Fri Nov 10 2017

   Valid 101630Z - 111200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe storms are not forecast through tonight.

   ...Southeast FL...
   Offshore convergence appears maximized east of Martin county per
   visible satellite imagery. 12Z CAMs are highly consistent in
   simulating isolated convection developing to the southwest within
   this confluence band. Although mid-level lapse rates will be weak
   (around 6 C/km), a brief thunderstorm is possible in the early
   evening centered on Palm Beach county. 

   ...Pacific Northwest...
   Shortwave trough off the OR coast will progress east over the
   Northwest today. Associated forcing for ascent, steep lapse rates,
   and scant buoyancy should yield a risk of very isolated lightning
   strikes mainly across southern OR.

   ..Grams.. 11/10/2017

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z