Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 200037
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0637 PM CST Sun Nov 19 2017
Valid 200100Z - 201200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
There appears to be negligible risk for thunderstorms across the
U.S. tonight.
...01Z Outlook Update...
Latest observational data and model output continue to indicate the
presence of dry and/or stable conditions across much of the
contiguous U.S., with negligible potential for convection capable of
producing lightning. Little change is expected through and beyond
12Z Monday.
..Kerr.. 11/20/2017
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z