Nov 20, 2017 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Nov 20 00:37:26 UTC 2017 (20171120 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20171120 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20171120 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20171120 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20171120 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20171120 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 200037

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0637 PM CST Sun Nov 19 2017

   Valid 200100Z - 201200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   There appears to be negligible risk for thunderstorms across the
   U.S. tonight.

   ...01Z Outlook Update...
   Latest observational data and model output continue to indicate the
   presence of dry and/or stable conditions across much of the
   contiguous U.S., with negligible potential for convection capable of
   producing lightning.  Little change is expected through and beyond
   12Z Monday.

   ..Kerr.. 11/20/2017

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z