Dec 26, 2017 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Dec 26 16:09:14 UTC 2017 (20171226 1630Z Day 1 shapefile | 20171226 1630Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20171226 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20171226 1630 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20171226 1630 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20171226 1630 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 261609

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1009 AM CST Tue Dec 26 2017

   Valid 261630Z - 271200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorm threat is negligible today.

   ...Discussion...
   Low-level warm advection will shift east from the western to the
   central Gulf Coast States through the period. This will occur north
   of a quasi-stationary front that will remain offshore in the
   northwest/north-central Gulf. Thermodynamic profiles will be
   marginal for charge separation, given the relatively warm midlevels
   observed in 12Z soundings, and a lack of stronger/deeper forcing for
   ascent. While a couple lightning strikes are possible along the
   upper TX to LA coastal plain, the risk appears too sparse to warrant
   thunderstorm probabilities of 10% or greater.

   ..Grams.. 12/26/2017

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z