Dec 4, 2017 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Dec 4 06:09:15 UTC 2017 (20171204 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20171204 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20171204 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20171204 0700 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 040609

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1209 AM CST Mon Dec 04 2017

   Valid 051200Z - 061200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   A few thunderstorms are expected from southern Texas to the
   Tennessee Valley Tuesday.

   ...Discussion...
   As several impulses drop south/southeast over the northern Plains
   and Midwest through Tuesday night, deep cyclonic flow will further
   establish across much of the contiguous US. At the surface, a front
   will push southeast towards the Gulf and Atlantic Coasts, with a
   cold, continental air mass building behind it. Ahead of the front,
   modest surface-based buoyancy will likely maintain a few
   thunderstorms (ongoing from the previous overnight period) and
   foster the development of a few more storms during the daytime.
   Regardless, with the front becoming increasingly displaced from
   stronger ascent/flow aloft, organized severe weather is not
   anticipated.

   ..Picca.. 12/04/2017

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z