Sep 27, 2017 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Wed Sep 27 07:04:05 UTC 2017 (20170927 0730Z Day 3 shapefile | 20170927 0730Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20170927 0730 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20170927 0730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 270704

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0204 AM CDT Wed Sep 27 2017

   Valid 291200Z - 301200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe weather is not expected across the U.S. Thursday.

   ...Synopsis...
   Confined to the northern half of the U.S. and Canada, a progressive
   northern-stream upper flow field is expected Day 3, with a trough in
   the east, a ridge over the Prairies and north-central U.S., and a
   second trough moving into the west.  Farther south across the U.S.,
   a weakening trough over the Intermountain West will continue
   drifting slowly northward, with flat ridging persisting over
   south-central portions of the country.

   At the surface, high pressure will prevail over much of the country,
   though a cold front is forecast to move into/across the northwest
   portions of the U.S. ahead of the aforementioned western North
   America upper trough.

   Showers and possibly occasional/embedded lightning will be possible
   over the Pacific Northwest vicinity in conjunction with the
   advancing storm system.  Showers and a few storms will also be
   possible over portions of the Rockies and adjacent High Plains, and
   also from Texas eastward to the southeast near/north of the
   old/remnant surface front.  Finally, showers and a few lightning
   strikes may occur over the Great Lakes vicinity as troughing aloft
   crosses this region.  In all locales, severe weather is not
   expected.

   ..Goss.. 09/27/2017

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z