Feb 27, 2018 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Feb 27 00:41:38 UTC 2018 (20180227 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20180227 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20180227 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20180227 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20180227 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20180227 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 270041

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0641 PM CST Mon Feb 26 2018

   Valid 270100Z - 271200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not forecast tonight over the Lower 48
   states.

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level trough over CA will evolve into a closed low as it moves
   from the Bay Area to central CA through early Tuesday morning.  A
   few thunderstorms are possible mainly this evening across coastal
   central CA in association with dynamic cooling/forcing for ascent
   with weak/low-topped convection.  Farther east, low-amplitude flow
   will extend from the Rockies to the East Coast and stable conditions
   will preclude thunderstorm development.

   ..Smith.. 02/27/2018

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z