SPC AC 030625
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1225 AM CST Wed Jan 03 2018
Valid 051200Z - 061200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
The risk for thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S.,
Friday through Friday night.
...Discussion...
Models indicate that large-scale eastern U.S. upper troughing will
lose amplitude and begin to accelerate east northeast of the
Atlantic Seaboard during this period, as the center of an associated
large and deep cyclone migrates across and northeast of the Canadian
Maritimes. In its wake, it appears that mid/upper flow may begin to
trend more zonal across the U.S., with consolidating short waves
within one evolving belt of westerlies emanating from the Pacific
forecast to migrate inland across the northern California/Oregon
coast vicinity. It is possible that these features could be
accompanied by weak destabilization supportive of some potential for
convection capable of producing lightning, across coastal areas into
parts of the Great Basin Friday through Friday night. However, at
the present time, it appears that any such activity will be sparse
in coverage, with probabilities for thunderstorms less than 10
percent. Otherwise, elsewhere, generally stable conditions are
expected to preclude the risk for thunderstorms.
..Kerr.. 01/03/2018
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