Apr 6, 2018 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Fri Apr 6 06:34:39 UTC 2018 (20180406 0730Z Day 3 shapefile | 20180406 0730Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20180406 0730 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20180406 0730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 060634

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0134 AM CDT Fri Apr 06 2018

   Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   A few thunderstorms will be possible over parts of the
   central/northern Rockies and the southern Florida Peninsula Sunday.
   Organized severe weather is not anticipated.

   ...Synopsis...
   A rather progressive mid-level pattern will organize across the
   contiguous US Sunday, in conjunction with relatively zonal flow
   establishing over the southern Plains and Southeast. Embedded within
   this flow, several weak impulses will advance off the East Coast
   early in the period. The surface response will feature a front,
   initially stalled over the Gulf of Mexico and Florida Peninsula
   Sunday morning, making only modest northward progress through the
   period. In turn, substantive destabilization will likely be confined
   to portions of southern Florida, and isolated thunderstorms may
   develop here during the day.

   Meanwhile, embedded within northwesterly flow aloft, a weak
   shortwave trough is forecast to move southeast over the
   northern/central Rockies during the afternoon/evening. Associated
   large-scale ascent should offer adequate moistening/cooling of mid
   levels for a few thunderstorms across the region Sunday.

   ..Picca.. 04/06/2018

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