DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1259 AM CDT WED MAY 15 2024 VALID TIME 151200Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 27457965 27258120 26798220 26628248 26188284 99999999 29128408 29438296 29788188 30058106 30398044 0.02 37679600 36799534 36159574 34859823 34630108 35230305 36300278 37360080 38159918 38609867 38599788 38059676 37679600 0.02 35188163 36447965 36617787 36537718 35837701 34847731 33987844 33977978 34168088 35188163 0.05 27967982 27708100 27368205 26908285 99999999 28628323 29398031 0.05 36239645 36099789 36609887 37199871 37659781 37689696 37379591 36729575 36239645 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 29168401 29708288 30108185 30288057 99999999 27397952 27328044 27198128 26888203 26648245 26228277 0.05 33187913 32558070 33178205 33728268 35078294 36018241 36568176 36988068 37017914 36787806 36377673 35937635 35497645 34417732 33187913 0.05 28420308 32840320 33870376 34880435 35810477 37950518 38750489 39210405 39360222 39630114 40499896 41419807 41739693 41429600 40499562 39569546 38359471 37219464 36589471 36079518 35629585 34099910 33100037 28949945 26399896 25449873 0.15 28227904 26758402 99999999 28358458 29398195 30107978 0.15 34879950 34570077 34890250 35450305 35820323 36490322 37190127 37829725 37609607 37069559 36549572 35889683 34879950 0.15 34017832 33757925 33748021 34108124 34888166 35508152 35838035 35967858 35777769 35057754 34017832 && ... WIND ... 0.05 26827948 26718044 26598109 26358169 26158216 25738254 99999999 29168389 29538240 29928132 30298060 0.05 36977668 35817539 34457583 33557762 32857896 32318055 32908283 34168345 35458359 36688194 37197862 36977668 0.05 28480303 32790323 33750362 34680421 35360459 36230477 36890453 37360408 37670354 38110262 38240075 38939977 40509867 41449810 41859690 41329567 40319520 39189491 37759381 36379345 34029680 32129942 29079948 25499876 0.15 37509442 35649578 34419822 33180025 32860122 33040245 33630291 34380331 36010360 37060280 38049918 38729685 38349553 37509442 0.15 28638403 29108217 30018013 99999999 27597939 27328095 26058331 0.15 34998152 35967948 36117736 35327620 34607671 34207769 33797855 33687972 34168111 34998152 0.30 35540326 37090116 37499686 37289577 36349621 35209831 34660055 34860250 35540326 SIGN 35580316 37000119 37519672 37259577 36319624 35189837 34650081 34880260 35580316 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 37289577 36349621 35209831 34660055 34860250 35540326 37090116 37499686 37289577 SLGT 35327620 34607671 33797855 33687972 34108124 34888166 35508152 35838035 36117736 35327620 SLGT 38349553 37509442 35649578 34419822 33180025 32860122 33040245 34380331 36010360 37060280 38049918 38729685 38349553 SLGT 27617935 27328095 26238294 99999999 28708362 29398195 29868031 MRGL 32947865 32318055 32908283 34168345 35458359 36688194 36998005 37197862 36977668 35817539 34687554 MRGL 29118405 29708288 30108185 30308063 99999999 26897916 26598109 25888267 MRGL 28370307 31410316 32790323 33870376 35070443 35810477 37950518 38750489 39210405 39360222 40499896 41439810 41859690 41329567 39179491 37759381 36379345 34029680 32129942 29119948 25749885 TSTM 49630304 48300352 47800516 47670793 48301091 49481396 99999999 36861849 35251737 34781719 34351784 35191885 36681968 37591966 37471897 36861849 99999999 28470338 30320338 33540408 34210509 34290593 33920717 33670917 33731115 34011246 34091317 34641405 34821524 35241569 35891535 37241393 38451312 41351233 42771155 44790984 44520806 44290774 43620716 43470667 43280434 44000143 44619978 46029799 47019594 47289446 47379182 47249086 46989023 46639003 45859008 43339050 41209101 39249061 37829027 36759060 35849131 34919360 33849560 31749684 27999740 25129681 99999999 29378615 30298498 31288377 32198369 33278444 34408615 35528695 36898774 38678744 39708657 41238290 42048080 42547888 42027835 41247934 39557955 38097865 37327693 36947475 99999999 45696646 44106993 44097227 44547294 44977276 45397234 46536992 47456729 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW CNU 20 WNW TUL 20 WNW CHK 20 NW CDS 50 WSW AMA 30 NE TCC 10 WNW LBL 35 ESE ICT 30 SSW CNU. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW HSE 40 SSE EWN 25 ENE CRE 35 S FLO 15 NNW CAE 20 E SPA 15 SSW HKY 30 SW GSO 30 SE RZZ 35 WNW HSE. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E EMP 25 N JLN 25 W MKO 20 SSE FSI 60 NNW ABI 45 NNE BGS 50 ENE HOB CVS 40 SW CAO 20 SSW SPD 45 ENE DDC 30 SSW MHK 35 E EMP. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 E VRB 35 SE AGR 70 WSW FMY ...CONT... 70 SSW CTY 20 NE OCF 60 E SGJ. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE CRE 40 ENE SAV 50 ENE MCN 15 NNW AHN 35 SE TYS 30 ENE TRI 25 S ROA 35 ESE LYH 25 W ORF 40 NNE HSE 40 S HSE. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 WSW CTY 15 ENE CTY 30 SSW JAX 45 ENE SGJ ...CONT... 60 ENE PBI 50 E FMY 60 WSW APF. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 125 SSW 6R6 25 S INK HOB 45 SW CVS 50 W TCC 25 ENE LVS 45 WSW PUB 10 WSW COS 20 WSW LIC 10 NNE ITR 15 S EAR 35 NNE GRI 30 ESE OFK 10 E OMA 15 S FLV 45 NNW SGF 20 WNW HRO 20 NNW GYI 25 SE ABI 25 SW HDO 50 SW MFE. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 105 NNE ISN 10 NNE ISN 30 SE OLF 70 WSW GGW 55 WSW HVR 80 N GPI ...CONT... 35 S BIH 35 SSE NID 25 WSW DAG 25 SE PMD 20 SE BFL FAT 50 ENE MER 35 WNW BIH 35 S BIH ...CONT... 130 SSW 6R6 40 E MRF 30 NE ROW 35 ENE 4CR 20 NW 4CR 15 WSW ONM 65 NNE SAD 55 ENE PHX 45 S PRC 55 SW PRC 35 ESE EED 35 W EED 65 SSW LAS 15 SW LAS 20 WNW SGU MLF 20 WNW OGD 55 E PIH 45 WNW COD 40 N WRL 25 NNE WRL 45 ESE WRL 40 NNW CPR 65 NE DGW 10 ESE PHP 30 ENE PIR 45 NNE ABR 15 NNW DTL 30 SE BJI 25 WNW BFW 25 E BFW 30 N IWD 10 NE IWD 35 WNW RHI 20 WNW LNR 30 NNE BRL 35 NNW STL 10 ENE FAM 10 W POF 20 ENE BVX 35 SW RUE 15 NNW PRX 25 ENE ACT 15 NNE CRP 65 SE BRO ...CONT... 65 SSW PFN 40 WSW TLH 15 N MGR 35 S MCN 25 S ATL 30 N GAD 45 SSW BNA 20 NW HOP 45 N EVV 15 W IND 35 NW MFD 30 W ERI 30 SSW BUF 20 NE BFD 25 W DUJ 20 ESE MGW 10 WSW CHO 25 ESE RIC 80 SSE WAL ...CONT... 60 NNE EPM 15 SSW AUG 15 ESE MPV 10 ENE BTV 25 W EFK 35 N EFK 95 WSW CAR 50 NE CAR.