ZCZC SPCSWODY1 ALL
ACUS01 KWNS 070522
SPC AC 070520

STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK 
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWNS.

VALID 071200Z - 081200Z


NO TSTM AREAS FCST.



...FL PENINSULA...

SURFACE RIDGE WILL BUILD SEWD ACROSS THE GULF STATES INTO FL AS
UPPER SPEED MAX EXITS THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC REGION LATE IN PERIOD. 
DEEPENING WLY FLOW AND MARGINAL CONVERGENCE ALONG COLD FRONT
SUGGEST THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS FL BY EARLY-MID MORNING IS
MARGINAL.

ALTHOUGH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING ACROSS NRN FL ATTM...IT
APPEARS THIS ACTIVITY WILL WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS WITH
LARGE SCALE FORCING BECOMING MORE FOCUSED MUCH FARTHER NORTHEAST.

...SWRN U.S...

INCREASINGLY CYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF JET AXIS OVER NRN MEXICO SHOULD
AID IN MOISTENING MID LEVELS AND ENHANCE ELEVATED INSTABILITY
MAINLY SOUTH OF THE BORDER.  CONVECTION WILL LIKELY DEVELOP OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS WELL SOUTH OF TUS BUT
THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD STRUGGLE TO LIFT NWD INTO AZ.
 
..DARROW.. 02/07/03

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