ZCZC SPCSWODY1 ALL
ACUS01 KWNS 011619
SPC AC 011618

STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK 
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWNS.

VALID 011630Z - 021200Z

NO TSTM AREAS FCST.


...WESTERN U.S...
STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH NOW MOVING SEWD ACROSS THE PAC NW
WILL CONTINUE THIS MOTION OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST TODAY AND
TONIGHT.  SURFACE COLD FRONT IN ADVANCE OF THIS TROUGH WILL
LIKEWISE CONTINUE A QUICK SEWD MOTION ACROSS THE NRN INTERMOUNTAIN
REGION TODAY WHERE RECORD OR NEAR RECORD HIGHS WILL BE COMMON THIS
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE FRONT.  THOUGH LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND MID
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL STEADILY INCREASE NEAR AND BEHIND THIS SURFACE
FRONT...LOW LEVELS APPEAR TOO DRY TO SUPPORT DEEP MOIST CONVECTION
THIS AFTERNOON.  SHALLOW CONVECTION SHOULD INCREASE IN POST-FRONTAL
REGIME LATER TODAY AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT FROM THE NRN CA VALLEYS
ACROSS THE NRN INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.  HOWEVER...FORECAST SOUNDINGS
FROM THE 12Z MODELS SUGGEST LITTLE MORE THAN SPORADIC LIGHTNING
STRIKES ARE ANTICIPATED.  THEREFORE...WILL OPT TO NOT INCLUDE A
LARGE THUNDERSTORM FORECAST.
 
..EVANS.. 02/01/03

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