ZCZC SPCSWODY1 ALL
ACUS01 KWNS 021935
SPC AC 021935

STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK 
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWNS.

VALID 022000Z - 031200Z

NO SVR TSTM AREAS FCST.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE GCN 35 S BCE
60 E MLF 35 ENE PUC 10 SW CAG 35 N 4FC 10 N AKO 40 NW GLD
50 ENE LAA 55 SSW LAA 45 W RTN 35 SSW FMN 40 NE GCN.



...CENTRAL ROCKIES...

EARLY AFTERNOON SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SHALLOW MID LEVEL
CONVECTION WITH ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES EVIDENT OVER SERN UT
INTO WRN CO.  THIS ACTIVITY APPEARS TO BE FORMING WITHIN EXIT
REGION OF UPPER JET AXIS WHERE LARGE SCALE ASCENT IS MAXIMIZED OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN.  LATEST DIAGNOSTIC DATA SUGGESTS BOUNDARY LAYER
HAS DESTABILIZED WITH SFC-BASED LIS ON THE ORDER OF ZERO TO MINUS
2 AND MUCAPES ON THE ORDER OF A FEW HUNDRED J/KG.  THIS ZONE OF
INSTABILITY/ASCENT WILL SHIFT EWD ACROSS CO OVER THE NEXT 6-12
HOURS AND ISOLATED WEAK ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY SURVIVE AND
ADVECT DOWNSTREAM INTO PORTIONS OF ERN CO BEFORE DISSIPATING LATER
THIS EVENING.
 
..DARROW.. 02/02/03

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