ZCZC SPCSWODY1 ALL ACUS01 KWNS 231927 SPC AC 231927 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0227 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2003 VALID 232000Z - 241200Z GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE ELO 50 E BRD 20 W STC 30 SSW FAR 75 N GFK. ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SYNOPSIS... UPPER TROUGH NOW MOVING ACROSS WRN CANADA IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES SEWD INTO THE NRN PLAINS THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL ALSO MOVE EWD ACROSS THE PLAINS...AND SHOULD EXTEND FROM MN SSWWD INTO ERN KS BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. THUNDER THREAT IS FORECAST TO BE MINIMAL ACROSS THE CONUS THIS PERIOD. ...NRN MN... A COUPLE OF LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY OCCUR WITHIN HIGHLY-ELEVATED / WEAK CONVECTION POSSIBLE ACROSS THIS REGION DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD. ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO BE NEGLIGIBLE AND BASED AT AROUND 600 MB...QG FORCING FOR UVV AHEAD OF APPROACHING TROUGH MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT A FEW WEAK CONVECTIVE SHOWERS -- AND A MINIMAL THREAT FOR A LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO. ..GOSS.. 10/23/2003 ...NOTICE... FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED. $$ |