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    Day 2 Outlook >
Jul 8, 2015 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Jul 8 00:58:55 UTC 2015 (Print Version | 20150708 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20150708 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
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 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 080058

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0758 PM CDT TUE JUL 07 2015

   VALID 080100Z - 081200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   ISOLATED STRONG WINDS MAY OCCUR OVER PARTS OF
   PENNSYLVANIA...KENTUCKY AND FAR WEST TEXAS OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO
   WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.

   ...DISCUSSION...
   CONVECTION HAS LARGELY WEAKENED IN INTENSITY...BUT POCKETS OF STRONG
   STORMS MAY PERSIST THROUGH ABOUT 02-03Z. FROM PA TO TN...MODEST
   DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AMIDST POOR MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES BUT WEAK BUOYANCY
   MAY CONTINUE TO SUPPORT ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS WITHIN A COUPLE
   MULTICELL CLUSTERS. BUT WITH NOCTURNAL BOUNDARY-LAYER STABILIZATION
   ENSUING...THIS THREAT APPEARS TOO SPATIOTEMPORALLY LIMITED TO
   WARRANT MARGINAL SEVERE RISK PROBABILITIES. OVER FAR W TX...A
   MARGINAL HAIL EVENT OR STRONG WINDS MIGHT ACCOMPANY A SMALL CLUSTER
   E OF EL PASO WITHIN A POST-FRONTAL AIR MASS GIVEN MODEST EFFECTIVE
   SHEAR.

   ..GRAMS.. 07/08/2015

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z

        
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Page last modified: July 08, 2015
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