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    Day 2 Outlook >
Apr 17, 2014 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Apr 17 00:42:35 UTC 2014 (Print Version | 20140417 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20140417 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Tornado Wind Hail
 Population  Cities/Towns  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  ARTCC  FEMA Regions

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 170039

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0739 PM CDT WED APR 16 2014

   VALID 170100Z - 171200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN GENERALLY BELOW 10
   PERCENT ACROSS THE NATION THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY MORNING.

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   ISOLATED TO VERY WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN OCCURRING
   DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
   INTO THE VICINITY OF THE BLACK HILLS...AS WELL AS ACROSS
   SOUTHWESTERN-MOST PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND ADJACENT
   COASTAL WATERS...AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN WEST OF THE RIO GRANDE RIVER
   /TO THE NORTHWEST OF LAREDO/.  MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY APPEARS
   STRONGLY LINKED TO LOCALIZED DESTABILIZATION DRIVEN BY DAYTIME
   HEATING...AND PROBABLY WILL DIMINISH BY 02-03Z...IF NOT BEFORE. 
   GIVEN THE SPARSE COVERAGE AND ANTICIPATED LIMITED WINDOW FOR
   CONTINUING DEVELOPMENT...PROBABILITIES FOR THUNDERSTORMS STILL
   APPEAR BELOW THE MINIMUM 10 PERCENT THRESHOLD FOR A CATEGORICAL
   THUNDERSTORM AREA.

   ..KERR.. 04/17/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z

        
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Page last modified: April 17, 2014
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