Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

    Day 2 Outlook >
Aug 24, 2017 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Click to see valid 1Z - 12Z Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Aug 24 01:00:37 UTC 2017 (Print Version | 20170824 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20170824 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Tornado Wind Hail
 Population  Cities/Towns  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  ARTCC  FEMA Regions

 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 240100

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0800 PM CDT Wed Aug 23 2017

   Valid 240100Z - 241200Z

   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF
   THE EASTERN CAROLINAS...

   ...SUMMARY...
   A line of storms will continue moving slowly eastward toward/off the
   Carolina coast this evening, with a few strong to locally severe
   storms embedded therein over the next couple of hours.

   ...Eastern Carolinas...
   A band of locally vigorous storms -- still capable of a local/brief
   severe event -- continues moving slowly east toward the North
   Carolina coast early this evening.  The evening MHX (Morehead City
   NC) RAOB depicts a very moist boundary layer, supporting
   moderate/deep CAPE.  However, despite the semi-organized nature of
   the convective line, relatively modest flow aloft revealed by the
   RAOB and area VWPs suggests only a local/isolated risk for wind
   gusts reaching severe levels this evening, prior to storms moving
   offshore.

   ...Elsewhere...
   A few strong storms -- which may locally attain severe levels --
   will remain possible this evening over portions of the New
   Mexico/Arizona vicinity, as ascent associated with a slow-moving
   upper trough persists over the area.  A couple of strong to perhaps
   briefly severe storms may also persist for the next 1-2 hours from
   East Texas eastward into the Southeast, in the vicinity of a
   lingering west-to-east baroclinic zone.

   ..Goss.. 08/24/2017

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z

        
Top/Latest Day 2 Outlook/Today's Outlooks/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: August 24, 2017
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities