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    Day 2 Outlook >
Aug 27, 2016 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Click to see valid 1Z - 12Z Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Aug 27 00:36:20 UTC 2016 (Print Version | 20160827 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20160827 0100Z Day 1 KML)
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 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 270036

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0736 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

   VALID 270100Z - 271200Z

   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS NRN MO...

   ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID MS
   VALLEY...

   ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF NWRN KS...

   ...SUMMARY...
   SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...SOME SEVERE...ARE EXPECTED
   PRIMARILY ACROSS NORTHERN MISSOURI THIS EVENING.  ISOLATED TORNADOES
   AND GUSTY WINDS ARE THE MAIN THREATS.  OTHERWISE...A FEW STRONG
   STORMS WILL LINGER OVER NORTHWESTERN KANSAS THROUGH MID EVENING.

   ...NORTHERN MO...

   REMNANTS OF A VERY WEAK MCV ARE LIFTING NEWD INTO NWRN MO. 
   CONVECTION HAS INTENSIFIED AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE AND A WELL-DEFINED
   SQUALL LINE HAS EVOLVED FROM EAST OF SJT...INTO THE KANSAS CITY
   METRO.  A FEW SUPERCELLS ARE EMBEDDED ALONG THIS ARCING BAND OF
   STORMS AND STRONGER ROTATIONAL COUPLETS COULD YIELD A TORNADO OR TWO
   GIVEN THE VERY MOIST PROFILES WITHIN STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. 
   GIVEN THE ORGANIZED NATURE OF THIS ACTIVITY...SQUALL LINE SHOULD
   PROGRESS INTO NCNTRL MO OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

   ...NWRN KS...

   A SW-NE ORIENTED LINE OF STORMS HAS EVOLVED OVER NWRN KS THIS
   EVENING AND IS PROGRESSING ESEWD ALONG NRN FRINGE OF SOMEWHAT HIGHER
   INSTABILITY AIR MASS.  LATEST MRMS HAIL ALGORITHM SUGGESTS SEVERAL
   OF THE STRONGER UPDRAFTS ARE PRODUCING HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS MAY ALSO
   ACCOMPANY THIS ACTIVITY UNTIL CONVECTION BEGINS TO WEAKEN WITH LOSS
   OF HEATING.

   ...ELSEWHERE...

   ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NOTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE MIDDLE OF THE CONUS
   SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS DIURNAL COOLING COMMENCES.

   ..DARROW.. 08/27/2016

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z

        
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Page last modified: August 27, 2016
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