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    Day 2 Outlook >
Mar 28, 2017 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Mar 28 00:58:18 UTC 2017 (Print Version | 20170328 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20170328 0100Z Day 1 KML)
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 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 280058

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0758 PM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017

   Valid 280100Z - 281200Z

   ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
   SOUTHERN TENNESSEE AND INTO ADJACENT NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND
   NORTHERN ALABAMA...

   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE
   MID-OHIO VALLEY SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TO THE
   MISSISSIPPI DELTA REGION...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue for the next few hours
   (i.e. a good portion of the evening) -- centered over the Tennessee
   Valley area.  Hail and damaging winds will be the primary severe
   risks.

   ...Mid-Ohio Valley south-southwest to the Mississippi Delta area...
   Numerous showers and thunderstorms continue across the region --
   though a gradual decrease in intensity continues early this evening
   as a combination of diurnal effects and widespread convective
   overturning is resulting in a generally stabilizing environment
   across much of the area.

   Greatest severe risk appears likely to linger over parts of southern
   Middle Tennessee and into northeast Mississippi and northern
   Alabama, in conjunction with a fairly well-organized band of storms
   currently crossing Middle Tennessee (just southeast of the upper low
   which is now centered in the vicinity of western Kentucky).  With
   500 to 1000 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE ahead of this convective band in
   conjunction with enhanced westerly flow aloft on the south side of
   the upper system, stronger cells will likely maintain potential to
   produce hail in excess of severe levels and locally damaging winds
   -- possibly into the late evening hours before diminishing.

   ..Goss.. 03/28/2017

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z

        
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Page last modified: March 28, 2017
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