Nov 29, 2014 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Nov 29 00:20:04 UTC 2014 (20141129 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20141129 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20141129 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20141129 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20141129 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20141129 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 290020

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0620 PM CST FRI NOV 28 2014

   VALID 290100Z - 291200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THE REST OF THE PERIOD.

   ...PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST...

   00Z SOUNDING FROM SLE EXHIBITS WEAK NEAR-SFC BASED BUOYANCY WITH
   ROUGHLY 150 J/KG MUCAPE.  WHILE THIS BUOYANCY APPEARS SUFFICIENT FOR
   PERHAPS AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM...IT APPEARS MOST CONVECTION WILL
   REMAIN TOO SHALLOW/WEAK FOR LIGHTNING DISCHARGE.

   ..DARROW.. 11/29/2014

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z