Sep 27, 2016 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Sep 27 00:35:33 UTC 2016 (20160927 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20160927 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20160927 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20160927 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20160927 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20160927 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 270035

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0735 PM CDT MON SEP 26 2016

   VALID 270100Z - 271200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS
   OF THE GULF COAST STATES NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
   APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS AND EASTWARD TO THE ATLANTIC COAST.

   AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND OH
   VALLEY THIS EVENING AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES SEWD ACROSS THE SRN AND
   CNTRL APPALACHIAN MTNS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND
   AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS EVENING WITH SOME CONVECTION PERSISTING INTO
   THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
   THIS EVENING FROM THE TX COASTAL PLAINS EWD ACROSS MUCH OF THE GULF
   COAST REGION. INSTABILITY SHOULD NOT  BE SUFFICIENT FOR SEVERE
   THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING OR TONIGHT ACROSS THE CONUS.

   ..BROYLES.. 09/27/2016

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z